MA Guangming：The Transition of China's Trade Pattern Structure and Urban Female Employment ——Horizontal Differences and Vertical Shocks

Abstract：There is an obvious declination of the proportion of female employees among all industries especially in manufacturing industry in recent years in China, and the change in China's trade pattern structure and corresponding production mode may be the structural reason.Based on short panel model of 28 provinces from 2006 to 2012 and time serial model and VAR impulse response analysis from 1990 to 2012, we find that, after controlling related parameters like personal GDP, trade openness, female ratio in population, female education, the ratio of the old and children in population, there is always a significantly positive correlation between processing trade ratio and female employment ratio in town both from horizontal differences and vertical shocks angles.Female employment ratio is even seriously influenced by trade pattern in manufacturing industry, and eastern provinces are more significantly influenced than middle and western provinces.Government is supposed to notice the crowding-out effect of trade pattern and production shift to female employment and take measures to prevent sex discrimination.

Key words： Trade Pattern    Sex Structure in Employment    Horizontal Differences    Vertical Shocks

source:Finance & Trade Economics ,No.6,2015