SHI Qing, LI Ping:Reconsideration of Employment Effects of Chinese Enterprises' Export

Abstract  The structure and the mode of China's international trade is undergoing profound changes, and processing trade in the low-end of the global value chain has shown a negative effect. As a big export country with labor intensive products, employment effect of export is put on the agenda again. This paper uses survival industrial enterprises data from 2000 to 2007 to examine the export impact of enterprises on employment structure, total employment scale, skilled workers' employment scale and unskilled workers' employment scale. The results do not support screening mechanism under New-New Trade Theory. While export increased employment scale of two categories, it also reduced the employment proportion of skilled workers and deteriorated the employment structure of workers, especially in the high and new technology enterprises, other foreign companies out of Chinese Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan, and the Pan-Pearl River Delta enterprises. This conclusion helps us evaluate and deploy the transformation of trade policy from the perspective of welfare effects.

Source: Finance & Trade Economics , No.10, 2014