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Fitch: China economy will avoid hard landing

发表于 cjyyzb4
China's economy will avoid a hard landing as the current slowdown is much less abrupt than during the global financial crisis four years ago, ratings firm Fitch said in a report on Monday.

China's GDP grew 7.4 percent in the third quarter from a year earlier, the National Bureau of Statistics said on Thursday, down from 7.6 percent in the second quarter.

More positively, September's retail sales saw the biggest year-on-year increase since March, although this may have been due to higher sales during the holiday period, while industrial production was up 9.2 percent year-on-year.

"China has scope for policy flexibility: we think fiscal stimulus will be modest while the labor market remains resilient, and the authorities are mindful of the risks of rapid credit growthsuch as weakening the banking system. Nevertheless, the stimulus could still be sufficient to help raise growth towards 8 percent by year-end and support a rate of about 8.2 percent in 2013," the report said.

In Fitch's September Global Economic Outlook, the company trimmed its expectations for Chinas full-year GDP growth for 2012 to 7.8 percent from 8 percent, following the Q2 reading.

Updated: 2012-10-22 16:11
By Hu Yuanyuan ( chinadaily.com.cn)